Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.036376 0.039253 0.042272 0.045679 0.049422 0.053416 0.058007
2025-04-20 0.031736 0.035801 0.040300 0.045665 0.051917 0.058999 0.067674
2025-04-27 0.028953 0.033772 0.039325 0.046238 0.054672 0.064697 0.077627
2025-05-04 0.026494 0.031729 0.037958 0.045984 0.056148 0.068721 0.085656
2025-05-11 0.024590 0.030109 0.036858 0.045813 0.057528 0.072534 0.093540
2025-05-18 0.022972 0.028673 0.035812 0.045533 0.058620 0.075914 0.100985
2025-05-25 0.021668 0.027515 0.034996 0.045424 0.059837 0.079443 0.108813
2025-06-01 0.020319 0.026194 0.033851 0.044748 0.060168 0.081694 0.114912
2025-06-08 0.019056 0.024898 0.032641 0.043870 0.060103 0.083308 0.120120
2025-06-15 0.018079 0.023926 0.031802 0.043430 0.060590 0.085698 0.126621
2025-06-22 0.017212 0.023052 0.031037 0.043028 0.061072 0.088065 0.133222
2025-06-29 0.016279 0.022035 0.030009 0.042166 0.060785 0.089200 0.137879
2025-07-06 0.015810 0.021657 0.029881 0.042636 0.062567 0.093695 0.148516
2025-07-13 0.015232 0.021092 0.029449 0.042615 0.063572 0.097009 0.157438
2025-07-20 0.014850 0.020791 0.029383 0.043140 0.065460 0.101873 0.169490
2025-07-27 0.014293 0.020204 0.028856 0.042905 0.066085 0.104650 0.178012
2025-08-03 0.013797 0.019682 0.028399 0.042748 0.066814 0.107631 0.187156
2025-08-10 0.013309 0.019151 0.027900 0.042490 0.067343 0.110280 0.195886
2025-08-17 0.012890 0.018707 0.027514 0.042389 0.068125 0.113413 0.205831
2025-08-24 0.012378 0.018097 0.026837 0.041767 0.067951 0.114785 0.212354
2025-08-31 0.011854 0.017449 0.026074 0.040960 0.067395 0.115399 0.217353
2025-09-07 0.011449 0.016971 0.025564 0.040554 0.067530 0.117309 0.225235
2025-09-14 0.011073 0.016528 0.025089 0.040184 0.067702 0.119288 0.233440